Rome Times

The Eternal Voice of Italy
Monday, Oct 05, 2026

Shifting Political Sands: Forza Italia Surpasses Lega in Latest Polls

As Italy's right maintains a relative majority, coalition dynamics hint at potential shifts in power balance
In a political climate marked by fluctuating alliances and voter sentiment, Italy's latest electoral polls signal a notable shift within the centre-right faction as Forza Italia overtakes the Lega.

According to the recent SWG survey for La7, conducted amidst ongoing partisan realignments, the centre-right coalition, though seeing slight fluctuations, retains its relative majority with approximately 47-48% of the popular vote.

At the forefront of this coalition, Fratelli d'Italia (FDI) continues to lead with a commanding 28.8%, despite suffering a marginal dip of 0.3%.

This leadership position is further cemented by FDI’s perseverance in maintaining a significant lead over the Democratic Party (PD), which remains stable at 22.4%.

However, the dynamics among their allies tell a more nuanced story.

Forza Italia has experienced a modest increase of 0.2%, now standing at 9.2%, thereby surpassing the Lega, which has decreased slightly to 8.7%.

This subtle shift suggests a potential reconfiguration within the centre-right bloc, reflecting broader strategic recalibrations possibly influenced by regional and national considerations.

Meanwhile, the landscape on the left reveals its own complexities.

The centre-left coalition would garner approximately 41% if unified, an alignment theoretically expanded by alliances with smaller parties like IV, Azione, and +Europa.

Nonetheless, such a coalition's viability remains hindered by entrenched factional disputes and vetoes that currently thwart any cohesive formation.

The 5 Star Movement (M5S), grappling with internal discord and public backlash from recent internal controversies involving its founder, Beppe Grillo, sees its support dwindle slightly to 11.5%.

Meanwhile, Azione, led by Carlo Calenda, marks the most notable growth among smaller parties, rising to 3.2% and underscoring a growing appetite for centrist alternatives.

These oscillations within Italy's vibrant political tableau reflect deeper, underlying sentiments and reveal potential strategic recalibrations ahead of future electoral contests.

Amidst a challenging landscape, where traditional alliances and new contenders battle for influence, Italy's political future remains both uncertain and ripe with possibility.
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